Where the election will be won or lost
Ontario will make or break the next federal government
ABOVE THE FOLD
905 OR BUST — If Ontario is a federal electoral battleground, think of the GTA as the kingmaker. MARK CARNEY needs to lock down the vote-rich region. PIERRE POILIEVRE needs to bust it wide open. Tonight, there are 122 seats on the line in Ontario, so whoever comes out on top here wins it all on the Hill. And the path to 24 Sussex cuts straight through the 905. Here’s what to watch and what’s at stake for the province as Canada heads to the polls.
Ridings to watch: Nepean and Carleton, where Carney and Poilievre are duking it out next door to each other. Poilievre’s seat is not a given, and the Tories have reportedly been pouring resources into the riding out of fear he could lose it. Carney has never been elected to public office before, but Nepean is considered a safe Liberal seat.
In the 416 and 905: If the Conservatives don’t flip key seats in Peel, York, Durham, Halton and elsewhere in the suburbs surrounding Toronto, it’s game over for Poilievre, who has tanked in …